No matter which way the final election results go, and to which side the House flips, the next two years will be challenging for both the Republicans and the Democrats.
Read More »Trump’s Acquittal is a Sign of ‘Constitutional Rot’
The Senate’s failure to convict Trump is a constitutional failure not just “in legal terms but in civic terms – a failure not primarily of political institutions but of civic attitudes".
Read More »Republicans Didn’t Lose Big in 2020
In the 2021 legislative season, Republicans will have unified control of 20 of the 28 legislatures that retain mapmaking responsibility. Democrats will control just seven.
Read More »How Joe Biden Did So Well in Georgia
Georgia’s 2020 turnout was roughly 800,000 more than in the 2016 presidential election. An additional factor in the Georgia election result may have been President Trump’s statements discouraging his supporters from voting, but the real key was the grassroots organization, the Student Nonviolent Coordinating Committee and other efforts, that brought new voters into the fold.
Read More »Votes Cast in November Will Shape Congress Through 2030
In presidential election years, the public is obviously focused on the race for the White House, but the decisions voters make in state legislative races affect the partisan composition of Congress for years to come. Without changes in who draws district lines, the U.S. is likely to enter another decade in which congressional elections are shaped not by everyday voters but by those who hold the power.
Read More »Could President Trump be Impeached and Convicted?
Given the timing of an impeachment vote in the House and a Senate trial, a verdict could be rendered with the 2020 general election campaign in full swing, or even between Election Day and inauguration. This would create serious doubt and deep division about whether a president removed from office could legitimately take the oath of office again.
Read More »How Republican Missteps Turned Alabama Blue
It began with a sex scandal. How else?
Read More »Passage Through Divided America
The hard-core Republican establishment is worried sick about a possible political disaster in November 2016. Could Trump possibly be a “Goldwater” moment for the Republican Party?
Read More »The Path to 270 in 2016
Both the structural demographic changes and geographic patterns of support in the electorate suggest slight advantages for Democrats in 2016. In no way, however, do these factors preclude Republicans from taking the right steps to amass a national majority and Electoral College victory.
Read More »Obama: The Fairy-Tale President?
Obama's made a lot of Faustian bargains over the last seven years. But given his likely successors, what we got over the last two terms may be as good as it gets.
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