Only bilateral and multilateral trust and sincerity will help promote the national reconciliation in Afghanistan. But the ground situation hardly portends well because Dr Abdullah Abdullah, the Afghan People’s Dialogue on Peace, India and Russia on the one hand, and Dr Ashraf Ghani, Pakistan, USA, and China, on the other, find themselves at variance.Read More »
Tightrope Walk for the New Afghan Leader
International community’s response to Afghanistan’s unity government deal seems to be over-optimistic. It’s a curt reminder of political wheeling and dealing in a nascent democracy that remains mired in primitive tribalism and warlordism.Read More »
US General’s Killing Raises Fears of Taliban Resurgence
The war in Afghanistan is largely forgotten in the West with all the attention on Gaza, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Nigeria and elsewhere, but it is far from over. And judging by the killing of General Greene, US involvement in Afghanistan will stretch over many years to come.Read More »
Will Elite Power-brokering Resolve Afghan Political Crisis?
The current confusion in Afghanistan’s political crisis highlights the paradoxical nature of Afghan politics: both highly fluid at times of uncertainty, as well as inherently rigid. Amid all this, Karzai still remains the most important player in the current crisis. All depends on how he plays it. He has emerged as the strongest player in mediation.Read More »
What Next After Historic Afghan Vote?
Voters in Afghanistan turned out in record numbers on April 5th to elect a new president and provincial councils. Estimates put the voter turnout at nearly 60 percent. The high turnout was significant for many reasons — the top being people coming out of their homes despite Taliban threat and the exclusion of Afghan refuges in Pakistan from the voting process. …Read More »
What the Polls Say About Afghan Presidential Election
Is it possible to predict the upcoming Afghan elections on the basis of polling data? There are severe methodological challenges in collecting accurate survey data in a country like Afghanistan, and, given how young the country’s democracy is, not much past data on how well those predictions turned out. But surveys during the 2009 presidential election did prove to be …Read More »