Only time will tell whether or not Myanmar will follow through and reciprocate to Beijing’s overtures, but owing to the lack of alternatives offered by Washington, a US client regime or not, Myanmar’s government seems to have a very simple choice to make.
The rains are coming and the dam water levels – and tensions – will soon begin to rise. Solutions that work for all parties must be found, and quickly.
The Trump administration’s quest to curb relationships between its allies in the Middle East and China offers a preview of how big power rivalry in the region is likely to unfold. It also suggests the limits on the United States’ ability to reduce its commitment to regional security.
Criminal networks fuel community violence in a bid to exploit untapped mineral deposits in the North West where around 80% of mining is carried out illegally and on an artisanal basis.
Covid placed a pause on the formal renewal of relations between Europe and Africa, but it has also brought new focus to old questions.
Turkey has managed to avoid becoming embroiled in many of Africa’s local political quagmires. Instead, it came with a strong commitment that focused on direct aid, infrastructure and transportation projects, as well as mutually beneficial economic partnerships.
Russia, under Vladimir Putin, has expanded its influence in Libya as a key supporter of Khalifa Haftar’s war. Yet Moscow often operates pragmatically and will surely adapt its strategy as Haftar is losing ground.
The European Commission’s response to the coronavirus faces at least five fundamental challenges – all of which create significant opportunities for Europe.
European countries should try to revive the political approach to resolving the Libya conflict, particularly given that Turkey may want to do so from its current position of strength.
Both national and European identity will be essential to forging foreign policy after the crisis – and to taking on competing claims from sovereigntists.