January, 2020

  • 13 January

    Cyberspace is the Next Front in Iran-US Conflict

    Cyberspace remains the wild west, with few, if any, agreed-on rules of engagement or well-understood signaling mechanisms. This makes any ongoing cyberconflict between Iran and its enemies all the more dangerous, with critical infrastructure companies at risk of being caught in the crossfire.

  • 6 January

    Trump Fast Forwarded Pullout From Iraq?

    The US hostilities are likely to not only derail the Afghan peace process but also, possibly turn western Afghanistan into another battleground for the US-Iran proxy war.

November, 2019

  • 27 November

    Germany’s Quiet Leadership on the Libyan War

    Although Germany’s mediation role in the Libyan conflict has received relatively little attention so far, this might change if its initiative leads to a peace conference – or, alternatively, a collapse of the political process.

  • 19 November

    Hopes for the Future Dashed: Balkans Security After the French Veto

    The European Council’s failure to open accession negotiations with North Macedonia and Albania could mark a turning point for peace in the Western Balkans.

  • 18 November

    Bolivia in Crisis: How Evo Morales Was Forced Out

    Without Morales on the ballot paper in a future election, a large section of the electorate will not be able to vote for their candidate. This is a situation that some will call justice, given the way Morales skirted around the constitutional term limits, but that will leave a large, mainly rural, indigenous section of the population disenfranchised. Such frustration will lead to further violence if left unresolved.

October, 2019

  • 28 October

    Baghdadi’s Death is a Huge Blow to Islamic State, But What Next?

    IS will be set back for many months, and perhaps even years. It will struggle to regain the momentum it had under Baghdadi's leadership.

  • 2 October

    View from Europe: Trump’s Ukrainegate Could Help Ukraine

    The US president's impeachment process ensures Ukraine stays on the radar of Americans - and this may work to Ukraine's advantage.

September, 2019

  • 4 September

    Bewitched by Brexit: Referendums and Modern Democracy

    What is at stake here is neither EU membership nor national sovereignty, but the essence of parliamentary democracy.

  • 3 September

    Why Increasing Arab-Israeli Closeness Matters

    With the opening of a synagogue in Dubai and warmer relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel, some Arab states suddenly appear to be more open to friendship with Israel and Jews. Why?

July, 2019

  • 22 July

    What is at Stake in the Strait of Hormuz?

    Are consumers in the United States and other countries likely to suffer because of the tensions in the Strait of Hormuz? So far, that has not been the case in terms of fuel costs.