Whether Afghanistan's First Vice President Abdul Rashid Dostum is convicted or not, there will be anger and accusations that the rule of law has been cheated.
As the Trump administration ponders raising troops level in Afghanistan to stabilize its security environment, one Pakistani analyst digs into the complex issues and conflicting interests of regional and international players in the war-torn country that remain continue to be part of Afghan problem.
Multiple trans-border geopolitical and internal political factors are responsible for Kabul's current political and security crisis. Pakistan needs to step up its game to counter accusations of Afghan bloodshed.
Although the situation in Afghanistan is deteriorating, one would only hope that Afghan leaders would put the fears of a third Afghan war to rest. But, much more than the international actors, a lot depends on the Afghan leaders to jointly work for peace.
Following into China’s footsteps, Pakistan too can chart a new path that keeps it connected with all the countries of the region, including Afghanistan even in worst political times. Kabul’s ruling elites, too, have to carefully weigh as to what security costs their narrative on Pakistan will entail in a situation marked by huge shades of grays of geo-politics.
India can be a useful ally to the Afghan government. It cannot be a substitute for the United States. Its best chance for influencing Afghanistan’s trajectory lies in a close partnership with Washington in which the US provides the military support necessary to ensure the survival of the Afghan government and eventually brings the insurgency to the negotiating table. But in the broader picture, New Delhi’s margins of maneuver are slowly but surely diminishing. Karzai needs to take realities into account when he next makes political calculations.
Pakistan may not be doing enough to deny the Afghan Taliban a safe haven on its soil, but Afghan President Ashraf Ghani must also appreciate the reality that trust is a two-way street. His intransigence has upset peace proponents.
Outsiders can only facilitate but find solutions to Afghanistan's internal problems. It rests in the hands of the Afghan leadership only. Upping the ante in the cover of blame-game - like the recent tensions- will neither serve Afghan peoples nor benefit the region.
Pakistan is ranked as the happiest country in South Asia. Israel in Middle East, Uzbekistan in Central Asia, Costa Rica in Central and South America and Algeria in Africa are ranked happiest countries in their respective regions in the 2017 World Happiness Report.
By any metric, the three-pronged American campaign in Afghanistan — nation-building, fighting against the Taliban and curbing the illicit drug commerce — has not yielded tangible results. But the amount spent on the mission is simply staggering: $1 trillion and counting. The reconciliation drive is a track that has lamentably gone cold and deserves the best possible shot, argues one Pakistani analyst.