With so few issues apparently actually resolved, it’s little wonder that it took just days for new signs of tension to reappear after the agreement.
Joe Biden has a longstanding relationship with the Western Balkans. A re-energized US policy on the region could be transformative, especially when working in tandem with the EU.
China is poised to reap geopolitical gain via vaccine diplomacy if Europe does not prioritize Africa.
Year after year, Moscow is moving east, enhancing its ties to China. Year after year, New Delhi is moving west, building stronger links to the US. If this trend continues into the mid-term future, the two friendly countries might ultimately find themselves in the opposite geopolitical and economic blocks, and the Eurasian space will split into two pieces. Over time, Moscow and New Delhi will find it more challenging to maintain their bilateral cooperation even at the current levels, not to mention it is further deepening and broadening.
It looks like the UK government will claim victory by arguing that it is now able to escape the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice while getting tariff and quota-free access for goods exported to the EU.
The deep Indian Ocean is far less studied than the depths of the other oceans, for economic reasons: it is ringed by underdeveloped countries.
BRI is not a concept anymore but a functional reality from the east of Asia to the west of Europe and the territories in between. CPEC will be an enormous force-multiplier north to south, connecting China and Central Asia to Middle East and North Africa through Pakistan.
Biden will not be so friendly to MBS and will be pressured by those more sensitive to human rights on his foreign policy team to contain Saudi endeavors in the region. For this reason, Riyadh has once again turned to Ankara in hopes that Turkey will balance the playing field.
While TPLF may have been pushed TPLF out of Mekelle, it does not mean an end to the bloody conflict. Rather it may be the start of an insurgency and civil war.
If Tigray continues to engage with government forces, it could encourage other dissenting groups to do the same and potentially draw neighboring states into the conflict.