December 16, 2017

Tag Archives: UAE

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Russia in Libya: War or Peace?

Europe must use its diplomatic leverage to ensure that increased Russian involvement does not come at the cost of further destabilization on Europe’s southern border. Read More »

Somaliland: The Strains of Success

Successful state building in Somaliland has raised the stakes of holding – and losing – power. While Somaliland has remained largely committed to democratic government, recurrent political crises and delayed elections risk postponing much needed internal debate. Read More »

Saudis Could Face an Open Revolt at Next OPEC Meeting

As the first anniversary of the Saudi decision, to let the oil market determine oil prices approaches, it would be reasonable for OPEC outsiders to interpret Saudi policy shift as designed to serve its interests and those of its Gulf Arab allies rather than their interests and those of OPEC in general. The damage the Saudi decision has inflicted on itself provides reasons for the Saudis to change course. Read More »

Saudi Oil Strategy: Brilliant or Suicide?

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran and other major oil producers are engaged in the oil equivalent of mutually assured destruction. The sharp drop in oil revenue damages each of these countries economically and financially, while the wars they wage directly and indirectly against each other drain resources from vital domestic projects. Read More »

Libya: Why Federalist Movement Emerged in Cyrenaica?

Unless a constitutional settlement is reached between Libya's warring regions in the coming months, the country risks division into three independent countries, fears one Benghazi-based blogger. Read More »

Pakistan: The Crossroads of Credibility

Pakistan is at a dangerous crossroads, lip-service to the rule of law and accountability thereof erodes the credibility of governance that it desperately needs. Read More »

Growing Food Trade, Shrinking Self-Sufficiency

Growing demand for food and fuel has put pressure on the world’s agricultural lands to produce more. Now, a trend in “land grabbing” has emerged, as wealthy countries lease or buy farms and agribusiness in poorer countries to ensure their own future supplies. Read More »

Pakistan and the Crucible of Terror

There is a formidable challenge in reversing the consequences of Pakistan’s flawed policies of ‘strategic depth’ and containing the contagion of religious radicalization. Until the government, and its entire security apparatus, drastically revises its strategic matrix, divorces itself from the radical groups it helped create and draws up an internal security strategy, it will find it hard to shake off the image that Pakistan is the crucible of terrorism. Read More »

Oil Prices: Will the Gulf States Run Out of Power?

How vulnerable are the Gulf economies to low oil prices and how will they cope if the current slump continues? Read More »

Oil Prices Fall as Economics Trumps Geopolitics

With drop in oil prices, US may be able to wield an “oil weapon” directly rather than using Saudis as surrogates. The economic impacts of the oil price slump on the global macro-economy are multiple, complex and conflicting. Read More »