March 26, 2017

60 Reasons Why Oil Investors Should Hang On

(Photo by Paul Lowry, Creative Commons License)

Will oil market miss the coming wake-up call and instead deliver a severe supply disruption with skyrocketing prices and a political response along the lines of windfall profits taxes? Read More »

Will Oil Prices Rebound in 2016? Interview With Carl Larry

(Photo by Mike Mozart, Creative Commons License)

There is more risk of oil prices to the upside than there is to the downside during 2016. The average prices are expected to oscillate between $45 and $48 during the year. Read More »

What Happens if China’s Economy Has a Hard Landing?

Shanghai skyline. China's booming economy has accelerated the pace of development in cities across the country. (Photo by Wilson Hui, Creative Commons License)

If China does experience a hard landing, it will take years to correct the underlying structural causes and restore China’s economic reputation. Read More »

Saudi-Iran Confrontation Could Send Oil Prices to $250

(Courtesy Google maps screen shot)

Even though it remains a remote possibility, direct military confrontation between Saudi Arabia and Iran could well put oil back into triple-digit territory in short order. Read More »

Global Automotive Sales Within Reach of 90m Units in 2016

(Photo by The Toad

Incremental volume growth in the US and Europe is forecast to be solid but less spectacular, while on the other side of the balance sheet, further downside from Russia, South America and some big ASEAN car markets will be less of a drag on global volumes as their impact lessens, having already suffered severe market contractions. Read More »

Saudi-Iran Dispute Won’t Cause Lasting Oil Price Rally

Iranians protest in Tehran against the execution of Shiite cleric Nemer al-Nemer by Saudi Arabia. (Photo via VOA video)

In other words, global economic weakness and the glut in oil supplies will continue to weigh on crude. At this point, only tension in the Middle East is providing a bit of a lift to oil markets, but even that won't be enough to push up prices in any lasting way. Read More »

$10 Trillion Investment Needed to Avoid Oil Price Spike: OPEC

(Photo via OPEC)

OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years. The group expects oil prices to rise by an average of about $5 per year over the course of this decade, only reaching $80 per barrel in 2020. From there, it sees oil prices rising slowly, hitting $95 per barrel in 2040. Read More »

Is Pakistan’s Economy Out of the Woods?

Gwadar Port will play critical role in transformation of Pakistan's most least developed region and will play a central role in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. (Photo by Moign Khawaja, Creative Commons License)

The economic picture in Pakistan is not as bright as the government claims, but nor is it as dark as the critics suggest. Economic performance was mixed in 2015 and will in all likelihood remain mixed in 2016. The Pakistan economy is not in crisis, but it is not yet out of the woods. Read More »

How Far Can the Syrian Conflict Spiral Out of Control: Interview With Pelicourt

A taxi drives past Syrian soldiers manning a checkpoint at the entrance of al-Karama area in the Bab Amro neighborhood of Homs on May 2, 2012. (File photo by FreedomHouse)

Is the dangerously unspoken theory that ISIS is a bulwark against Iran what's keeping the West from tackling the Islamic State wholeheartedly on its territory? With no nation that can control it, the threat is now out of control and a war of ambiguous targets is emerging. Read More »

Strippers Suffering From Low Oil Prices

(Photo by Mike Senese, Creative Commons License)

As oil producers confront below $50 a barrel prices for a prolonged period, some will finally start to significantly curtail or even shut down operations. And that is going to severely hurt an all but invisible group; strippers in the United States. Read More »