March 26, 2017

Russia Cries Dyadya (Uncle), Is Saudi Arabia Listening?

(Photo by Tim Evanson, Creative Commons License)

Intensifying financial pressures on Russian energy companies, Saudis and their Gulf Arab allies might be tempted to decide to maintain pressure on prices and force Russia to absorb the cuts necessary to balance the global crude markets. Read More »

60 Reasons Why Oil Investors Should Hang On

(Photo by Paul Lowry, Creative Commons License)

Will oil market miss the coming wake-up call and instead deliver a severe supply disruption with skyrocketing prices and a political response along the lines of windfall profits taxes? Read More »

Will Oil Prices Rebound in 2016? Interview With Carl Larry

(Photo by Mike Mozart, Creative Commons License)

There is more risk of oil prices to the upside than there is to the downside during 2016. The average prices are expected to oscillate between $45 and $48 during the year. Read More »

Saudi-Iran Confrontation Could Send Oil Prices to $250

(Courtesy Google maps screen shot)

Even though it remains a remote possibility, direct military confrontation between Saudi Arabia and Iran could well put oil back into triple-digit territory in short order. Read More »

Saudi-Iran Dispute Won’t Cause Lasting Oil Price Rally

Iranians protest in Tehran against the execution of Shiite cleric Nemer al-Nemer by Saudi Arabia. (Photo via VOA video)

In other words, global economic weakness and the glut in oil supplies will continue to weigh on crude. At this point, only tension in the Middle East is providing a bit of a lift to oil markets, but even that won't be enough to push up prices in any lasting way. Read More »

$10 Trillion Investment Needed to Avoid Oil Price Spike: OPEC

(Photo via OPEC)

OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years. The group expects oil prices to rise by an average of about $5 per year over the course of this decade, only reaching $80 per barrel in 2020. From there, it sees oil prices rising slowly, hitting $95 per barrel in 2040. Read More »

How Far Can the Syrian Conflict Spiral Out of Control: Interview With Pelicourt

A taxi drives past Syrian soldiers manning a checkpoint at the entrance of al-Karama area in the Bab Amro neighborhood of Homs on May 2, 2012. (File photo by FreedomHouse)

Is the dangerously unspoken theory that ISIS is a bulwark against Iran what's keeping the West from tackling the Islamic State wholeheartedly on its territory? With no nation that can control it, the threat is now out of control and a war of ambiguous targets is emerging. Read More »

Strippers Suffering From Low Oil Prices

(Photo by Mike Senese, Creative Commons License)

As oil producers confront below $50 a barrel prices for a prolonged period, some will finally start to significantly curtail or even shut down operations. And that is going to severely hurt an all but invisible group; strippers in the United States. Read More »

ISIS, Turkey and Oil – The Bigger Picture: Interview With Pelicourt

(Photo by Giusi Barbiani, Creative Commons License)

Turkey's game of playing all sides in the balance of power game is difficult to sustain. The downing by Turkey of a Russian jet conducting air strikes over northern Syria is just the first move in the new phase of this game, and analysts should probably start looking at ISIS oil sales to Turkey in their examinations of why Turkey downed a Russian jet at a time when the Russians were specifically targeting ISIS-controlled oil facilities and tankers. Read More »

Time to Transform the Eastern Mediterranean

The genuine prospect of Cypriot reunification could serve as a political pivot to the EU. Pictured: Northern Cyprus. (Photo by greenacre8, Creative Commons License)

The massive resources available in the Eastern Mediterranean offer the prospect of employment and stability. The pursuit of common interests could unlock enormous untapped potential in the region. Read More »